Contingent considerations can be an important tool in deal negotiations,
providing buyers with downside protection while allowing sellers to participate
in the future upside. In accounting for a business combination, however, buyers
are required to estimate the fair value of these contingent considerations as
part of the total purchase consideration. These valuations are challenging: 1)
contingent considerations typically include complex payoff structures -- so
estimating the cash flows is difficult; and 2) contingent considerations
typically include non-linear risks -- so estimating the discount rate is
difficult.
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